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Busy summer pushes United Airlines to a $1.14 billion profit_我的网站

一 |     AI摘要      美海岸警卫队赴台训练，日菲战机联合飞行。专家指美方借执法合作深化介入，助台打造不对称战力；台军反封锁演练被指伪命题，难改台海力量对比现实。         据中央广播电视总台《海峡两岸》 近日报道，美国海岸警卫队机动辅训团抵台开展为期两周的所谓“小艇操作、团队部署与巡逻”训练，日本预警机与菲律宾战机亦在菲周边空域开展联合飞行。    United Airlines said Tuesday that it earned $1.14 billion in the vacation-heavy third quarter, but the airline forecast surprisingly weak profit the rest of the year due to surging jet fuel prices.United said fourth-quarter adjusted profit would be between $1.50 and $1.80 per share, well below Wall Street expectations for $2.09 per share.The third quarter, however, was strong all around for the Chicago-based airline. United said after the market closed Tuesday that revenue increased more than 12% over the same period last year, led by international flights.United said it set quarterly profit records for service to both Europe and Asia, as more Americans traveled beyond U.S. borders. Domestic revenue also grew, though not as much.United's net income of $1.14 billion compared with $942 million a year earlier. The airline said earnings adjusted to exclude unusual items worked out to $3.65 per share, beating the Wall Street forecast of $3.38 per share, according to a FactSet survey of analysts.Revenue rose to $14.48 billion, topping the analysts' prediction of $14.43 billion.United's report comes after rival Delta Air Lines posted a $1.1 billion profit last week. Delta saw particular strength in sales of premium seats and international flights. It predicted that fourth-quarter revenue would rise as much 11% compared with a year ago.Both airlines are seeing the cost of new labor contracts — particularly with pilots — weigh on their results. United agreed in July to raise pilot pay by up to 40% over four years in a deal that the Air Line Pilots Association valued at $10 billion over that span.The price of jet fuel has also risen since mid-summer, although it remains cheaper than a year ago. Still, several airlines reduced their third-quarter profit forecasts in recent weeks as pump prices exceeded their expectations when the quarter began.United declined to make officials available for comment on the results until Wednesday, when they hold a conference call with analysts and reporters.。台军也跟着强化所谓“反封锁能力”，声称意在深化所谓台美海巡专业交流。

二 | 相关举动引发外界高度关注。    据了解，此次窜台的机动辅训团是美国海岸警卫队海外培训机制的一部分，主要任务是向所谓“合作伙伴”输送海上执法、渔业检查、港口维护及小艇操作等培训课程。    “这暴露出美台双方两方面的危险动向。

三 | ”海疆问题专家王晓鹏指出，一是美国介入台海安全形势的手段进一步多样化，继所谓“联合训练”、对台军售后，又将“海上执法合作”纳入介入手段；二是此举与美国近年来海洋战略的升级调整密切相关，提出所谓“海上优势战略”，重中之重就是将海军与海岸警卫队力量有机融合，特别是将海岸警卫队船只（即“白船”）引入西太平洋关键区域，试图以这种低敏感度、常态化、专业化的“合作”模式，推动相关介入行为进一步深化。    有分析认为，美方此次培训重点聚焦小艇操作科目，旨在帮助台方打造所谓的“不对称战力”。大陆军事观察员郑剑表示，利用小艇执行任务，主要涉及8吨级的多功能海岸巡逻艇、K-920特战突击艇、大舰携带的工作艇三类。在近距离对峙乃至所谓“灰色地带”冲突场景中，小艇更容易以短兵相接的方式执行任务，此次演练的“小艇操作、团队部署与巡逻”，实质上是演练整个艇群在双方激烈对峙或复杂场面下的协同应对能力。    台湾时事评论员赖岳谦表示，美方此前高调公布美海警船与台海巡船并航照片，紧接着又派海警人员赴台培训，企图向台湾释放“对台承诺牢不可破”的信号，然而此举并未获得台湾民众信任，在岛内的评价也不是很高。赖岳谦指出，美国自身在中东的军事困境以及美军内部的诸多问题，已经让台湾民众对于美国的作战力抱持相当大的疑问。    除了美台之间的军事勾连，日本与菲律宾也在进行频密互动。近日，日本航空自卫队宣布，一架从澳大利亚完成训练返航的E-2D“鹰眼”预警机，在菲律宾周边空域与菲律宾空军F/A-50战斗机开展联合飞行训练。

四 |     王晓鹏对此表示，日方所谓“顺道”联合行动实为刻意安排，日本已将深度介入美菲联合军演纳入2026年年度计划，此举目的有二：一是训练日本预警机与菲律宾战机之间的空中联动能力；二是配合美国印太战略调整，日本走向台前，推动“日美菲澳”四边机制在军事层面逐步取代过去的老四边机制。    而在台军“汉光42号”演习的最后几日，台海巡部门首度与台海军执行所谓联合反封锁护航任务，在台湾东部海域护送载运关键战略物资的商货船进入花莲港及苏澳港。赖岳谦认为，台军舰队数量远少于解放军东部战区，台湾的海巡跟大陆的海警也不成比例，反封锁能力势必极为有限，因此这种演练“看看就好”。    面对台军借着演练“秀肌肉”的动作，王晓鹏表示，一旦发生海上高强度对抗，有关商船能否进出各个港口取决于制海权、制空权、海上航道维持能力、后勤保障与情报获取能力，而非几艘海巡船只的伴航。

五 | 台当局大肆炒作反封锁议题，更多是出于舆论宣传考量，所谓“逃生通道”很大程度上是个伪命题。    舆论指出，美日近期接连在台岛周边刷存在感，看似阵仗不小，但距离真正形成一体化作战体系却相距甚远。把几次联合行动炮制成所谓威慑，也改变不了台海力量对比的基本现实。民进党当局如果把这种热闹当成依靠的话，恐怕最终只能是自欺欺人。

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